Reduce fall-related deaths among older adults — IVP‑08 Data Methodology and Measurement

About the National Data

Data

Baseline: 64.4 deaths per 100,000 population aged 65 years and over were caused by unintentional falls in 2018

Target: 63.4 per 100,000

Numerator
Number of unintentional deaths from falls (ICD-10 codes: W00-W19) among adults aged 65 years and over.
Denominator
Number of adults aged 65 years and over.
Target-setting method
Minimal statistical significance
Target-setting method details
Minimal statistical significance, assuming the same standard error for the target as for the baseline.
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective, but it was not possible to project a target because the trend was moving away from the desired direction. The standard error was used to calculate a target based on minimal statistical significance, assuming the same standard error for the target as for the baseline. This method was used because the data have been moving away from the desired direction since 2007 and the Healthy People 2030 Workgroup Subject Matter Experts expected the data to be difficult to change.

Methodology

Methodology notes

FOR SINGLE DATA YEARS: Death rates are calculated based on the resident population of the United States for the data year involved. For census years (e.g. 2010), population counts enumerated as of April 1 are used. For all other years, population estimates as of July 1 are used. Postcensal population estimates are used in rate calculations for years after a census year and match the data year vintage (e.g., July 1, 2011, resident population estimates from Vintage 2011 are used as the denominator for 2011 rates). Intercensal population estimates are used in rate calculations for the years between censuses (e.g.,1991–1999, 2001–2009). Race-specific population estimates for 1991 and later use bridged-race categories.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from Healthy People 2020 with no change in measurement.