About the National Data


Baseline: 24.9 percent of infants born in 2015 were breastfed exclusively through 6 months of age

Target: 42.4 percent

Number of caregivers of children born in a cohort year who indicate their child was exclusively breastfed (given nothing but breast milk) through 6 months of age.
Number of children aged 19 through 35 months born in the same cohort year.
Target-setting method


Target-setting method details
Linear trend fitted using weighted least squares and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval.
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective. Using historical data points, a trend line was fitted using weighted least squares, and the trend was projected into the next decade. This method was used because three or more comparable data points were available, the projected value was within the range of possible values, and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval was selected because no additional information could be used to assess the trend line so the target was based on the projection.


Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from HP2020 with no change in measurement.



Because HP2030 objectives have a desired direction (e.g., increase or decrease), the confidence level of a one-sided prediction interval can be used as an indication of how likely a target will be to achieve based on the historical data and fitted trend.