About the National Data

Data

Baseline: 11.8 percent of persons were living below the poverty threshold in 2018

Target: 8.0 percent

Numerator
Number of persons living below the poverty threshold.
Denominator
Number of persons.
Target-setting method

Projection

Target-setting method details
Linear trend fitted using weighted least squares and a projection at the 67 percent prediction interval.
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective. Using historical data points, a trend line was fitted using weighted least squares and the trend was projected into the next decade. This method was used because three or more comparable data points were available, the projected value was within the range of possible values, and a projection at the 67 percent prediction interval was selected because it was a statistically significant improvement from the baseline. Economic growth contributes to the reduction of poverty in the United States.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from HP2020 with no change in measurement.