Baseline: 34.8 lung cancer deaths per 100,000 population occurred in 2018 (age adjusted to the year 2000 standard population)
lung cancer deaths per 100,000 population
Number of deaths due to lung cancer (ICD-10 code: C34).
Number of persons.
Target-setting method details
Linear trend fitted using weighted least squares and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval.
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective. Using historical data points, a trend line was fitted using weighted least squares and the trend was projected into the next decade. This method was used because three or more comparable data points were available, the projected value was within the range of possible values, and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval was selected because the reduction in deaths due to lung cancer has been consistent over the past 10 years. More widespread implementation of lung cancer screening, in addition to reduction in tobacco use and advances in treatment, is likely to lead to continuation of this trend.
Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from HP2020 with no change in measurement.