Increase the proportion of adults with arthritis who get counseling for physical activity — A‑04 Data Methodology and Measurement

About the National Data

Data

Baseline: 52.1 percent of adults aged 18 years and over with provider-diagnosed arthritis received health care provider counseling for physical activity or exercise in 2019

Target: 57.7 percent

Numerator
Number of adults aged 18 years and over with provider-diagnosed arthritis who receive health care provider counseling for physical activity or exercise.
Denominator
Number of adults aged 18 years and over with provider-diagnosed arthritis.
Target-setting method
Projection
Target-setting method details
Linear trend fitted using weighted least squares and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval.
1
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective. Using historical data points, a trend line was fitted using weighted least squares, and the trend was projected into the next decade. This method was used because three or more comparable data points were available, the projected value was within the range of possible values, and a projection at the 50 percent prediction interval was selected because no additional information could be used to assess the trend line, so the target is based on the projection.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from Healthy People 2020 with no change in measurement.
Revision History
Revised. 

In 2022, due to the 2019 NHIS redesign, the baseline was revised from 61.0% in 2014 to 52.1% in 2019. The target was revised from 68.8% to 57.7% using the original target setting method.


1. Because Healthy People 2030 objectives have a desired direction (e.g., increase or decrease), the confidence level of a one-sided prediction interval can be used as an indication of how likely a target will be to achieve based on the historical data and fitted trend.