U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Office of Disease Prevention and Health Promotion

Reduce the rate of minors and young adults committing violent crimes — AH‑10 Data Methodology and Measurement

On this page:  About the National Data  |  Methodology  |  History

About the National Data

Data

Data Source:  Uniform Crime Reporting System (UCR), DOJ/FBI

Baseline: 249.0 arrests per 100,000 adolescents and young adults aged 10 to 24 years for perpetration of violent crimes (murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault) occurred in 2018

Target: 199.2 per 100,000

Numerator
Number of arrests of juveniles aged 10 to 17 years and young adults aged 18 to 24 years for violent crimes (murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault).
Denominator
Number of juveniles aged 10 to 17 years and young adults aged 18 to 24 years in the residential population.
Target-setting method
Percent improvement
Target-setting method details
20 percent improvement from the baseline.
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective, but it was not possible to project a target because the trend over the past few years showed smaller declines than previous years, and the Healthy People 2030 Workgroup Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) viewed the projection as too ambitious. A 20 percent improvement from the baseline was used to calculate a target. This method was used because the SMEs anticipated a continued downward trend in youth perpetration of violent crime due to multi-sectoral and evidence-based approaches to prevent youth perpetration of crime.

Methodology

Methodology notes

The FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program (UCR) is a nationwide, cooperative statistical effort of more than 17,000 city, university and college, county, state, tribal, and federal law enforcement agencies voluntarily reporting data on crimes brought to their attention. Violent crimes include the following offenses: Murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault. These are Part I offenses and are serious crimes by nature and/or volume. The UCR Program uses the following method to estimate crime in the case of missing reports at the Metropolitan Statistical Area, state, and national levels. For agencies that did not report data, the UCR Program staff assign the same percental crime volumes based on the crime statistics of similar areas within a state. The UCR Program staff consider the size of an agency, type of jurisdiction, and geographic location in the estimation process. The UCR Program staff use a similar procedure for estimating the number of arrests for the Nation.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective
Modified, which includes core objectives that are continuing from Healthy People 2020 but underwent a change in measurement.
Changes between HP2020 and HP2030
This objective differs from Healthy People 2020 objective AH-11.1 in that objective AH-11.1 included "rape" in the definition of violent crimes, while this objective excludes "rape" from the definition.